Archive for the ‘Finance’ Category

Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy, And Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful

Friday, October 17th, 2008

Those are the words of the master himself, Warren Buffet.  He shared a few more tidbits of wisdom in a recent interview:

…What is likely… is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up… if you wait for the robins, spring will be over… …But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense…they ‘will be setting new profit records five, 10 and 20 years from now…

Here is the full story at Reuters.

It is good to hear the Warren repeating the sound fundamental advice in a time when so many Americans are gambling away their wealth due to fear.

One of my finance professors once gave made the following point during one of his lectures: “Most investors who get in trouble in the market get into trouble because the buy alot when the market is high and sell when it is low.”

The Best Line I Have Read About The Financial Crisis to Date: It’s in people’s minds.

Saturday, October 11th, 2008

From Yale economist Robert Shiller via Fox News:

Trillions in stock market value — gone. Trillions in retirement savings — gone. A huge chunk of the money you paid for your house, the money you’re saving for college, the money your boss needs to make payroll — gone, gone, gone.

Whether you’re a stock broker or Joe Six-pack, if you have a 401(k), a mutual fund or a college savings plan, tumbling stock markets and sagging home prices mean you’ve lost a whole lot of the money that was right there on your account statements just a few months ago.

But if you no longer have that money, who does? The fat cats on Wall Street? Some oil baron in Saudi Arabia? The government of China?

Or is it just — gone?

If you’re looking to track down your missing money — figure out who has it now, maybe ask to have it back — you might be disappointed to learn that is was never really money in the first place.

Robert Shiller, an economist at Yale, puts it bluntly: The notion that you lose a pile of money whenever the stock market tanks is a “fallacy.” He says the price of a stock has never been the same thing as money — it’s simply the “best guess” of what the stock is worth.

“It’s in people’s minds,” Shiller explains. “We’re just recording a measure of what people think the stock market is worth. What the people who are willing to trade today — who are very, very few people — are actually trading at. So we’re just extrapolating that and thinking, well, maybe that’s what everyone thinks it’s worth.”

Shiller uses the example of an appraiser who values a house at $350,000, a week after saying it was worth $400,000.

“In a sense, $50,000 just disappeared when he said that,” he said. “But it’s all in the mind.”

Here is the full article.

Economy Got You Down: The Federal Reserve Has Your Cure

Tuesday, September 16th, 2008

They have a few commercials that are designed to  renew your confidence in the in the economy.  I know I feel better after watching them.  They are a bit subtle;  in fact, you have probably seen them before.  This one is my personal favorite:

This one isn’t bad either.

And for those of you keeping score at home, I ripped almost this entire post off from Tyler Cowen.

Smart Financial Services By Kroger

Monday, September 1st, 2008

This kiosk jumped out at me in the checkout line at Kroger.  I cannot help but wonder how much financial incentive these companies are giving to Kroger for pushing their products.

Smart Finincial Services Brought to You By Kroger

AngryRenter.com: Glenn Beck and Dick Armey Sound Off Against The Mortgage Bailout

Sunday, July 20th, 2008

See the video here and sign the petition here.

I can’t stress it enough. The real losers in the housing bailout are responsible Americans who continue to save and not overextend themselves financially. Anybody whose mortgage is saved via taxpayer intervention should be forced to forfeit any gains from the future sale of their property.

My Favorite Store Gets a New Logo

Thursday, July 3rd, 2008

Walmart (previously Wal-Mart) has unveiled a new logo. And yes, it really is my favorite store.

New Walmart Logo

Congressman Feeney Has It Right

Wednesday, July 2nd, 2008

I am totally against any form of mortgage bailout. I also was and still am opposed to Congress’s bailout of Bear Sterns. The reality is very few Americans (proportionally speaking) stand to lose their homes. And if banks and mortgage companies lose money or go out of business then that is the nature of the free market. The real victim of the mortgage fallout is responsible Americans who did not buy more home than they could afford and aspiring home owners who are renting (and not getting an IRS subsidy in the form of a tax break) while they save for the purchase of a home.

It is refreshing to see Congressman Feeney stand up for the forgotten Americans.

Paul Krugman Has Bugged My Office

Monday, June 23rd, 2008

Two weeks ago I was lecturing two of my coworkers about homeownership. I explained to them that there was insufficient reason for me to purchase a home in the current market, and if need be - I would rent indefinitely. I added that I felt a lot of American’s have been misled into believing that the American Dream is owning a home. I believe the American Dream is freedom and economic prosperity, and for many American’s, home ownership prevents economic prosperity. My reasoning is simple. Many homeowners simply buy too much house and end up being house-poor. Others bought homes in an overvalued market and are now upside in their homes (negative equity.) Owning a home also makes people less mobile, in turn makes it tougher for them to relocate to accept better work. Top that off we the fact that most people own homes outside of the city or in suburbs which requires longer commutes and ever-increasing gas bills. For me, weighing these negatives (and an overvalued market) against the perks of homeownership makes renting a no-brainer for me.

So imagine my surprise when I stumbled across a Paul Krugman article in today’s NY Times that confirmed most of my argument.